ELECTORAL VOTE: BUSH 328 | KERRY 210
In the latest Composite Poll, Bush leads by 2 1/2, 49.83 to 47.33, though I expect that this lead is soft. Worse news for Kerry in the Electoral College.
In other predictions, ElectionProjection has the race at Bush 48.07%, 247 | Kerry 50.93%, 291 as of April 13.
Dales' ECB has Bush 46.3%, 216 | Kerry 44.7%, 202 with 120 tossups, as of April 19.

