Projection: Bush
Electoral Votes: 6
2000 Winner: Bush +20.8
Composite Margin: Bush +20.2
Current Category: Strong Bush
Probability of Bush Win: 100%
Best Bush: 65-35
Best Kerry: 44-56
Trend: Republican +22.3
Safe: Yes
Can other candidate win? Not this year.
National Popular Vote for other candidate to win: Kerry +29 (but not really enough data)
Best Weekly Polling Result for Bush: +25
Best Weekly Polling Result for Kerry: -19
Despite recently electing a Democrat Governor, Kansas remains a strong Republican state nationally. Its electoral votes have gone for the Republican candidate every year since 1968, and for Nixon in 1960. In every election since 1960, it has voted more heavily for the Republican than the nation as a whole, so a historical blowout would be necessary for a Democrat to even be competitive. Bush gets the 6 electoral votes.
We only have one more state where Bush has a 100% statistical probability of winning. We’ve already exhausted Kerry’s 100% states.
For an explanation of this data, click here.
For regular updates to the Composite State by State Margins, click here.
For regular updates to the Election Simulation, click here.
Note that the map on this page may not be updated as regularly.
