Projection: Bush
Electoral Votes: 3
2000 Winner: Bush +25.1
Composite Margin: Bush +21.4
Current Category: Strong Bush
Probability of Bush Win: 100%
Best Bush: 68-32
Best Kerry: 43-57
Trend: Republican +22.6
Safe: Yes
Can other candidate win? No.
National Popular Vote for other candidate to win: Kerry +63
Best Weekly Polling Result for Bush: +27
Best Weekly Polling Result for Kerry: -20
Bill Clinton won Montana in 1992 because Ross Perot pulled in 26% of the vote. In every other year since 1960, the Republican performed better in Montana than nationally. I’m sure this pick will be controversial, but I’m confident that Bush sweeps to an easy win and those all important three electoral votes.
For an explanation of this data, click here.
For regular updates to the Composite State by State Margins, click here.
For regular updates to the Election Simulation, click here.
Note that the map on this page may not be updated as regularly.
