Projection: Bush
Electoral Votes: 8
2000 Winner: Bush +15.9
Composite Margin: Bush +16.2
Current Category: Strong Bush
Probability of Bush Win: 98%
Best Bush: 63-37
Best Kerry: 47-53
Trend: Republican +17.5
Safe: Yes
Can other candidate win? No.
National Popular Vote for other candidate to win: Kerry +12
Best Weekly Polling Result for Bush: +18
Best Weekly Polling Result for Kerry: -7
South Carolina has swung around from single digits to high double digits. The latest polls has Bush up 18. There’s no doubt about it, John Edwards will lose his birth state. The question is, by how much.
If exit polls show this race in single digits, then expect a surprise in the Senate race, but because of that Senate race and Edwards’ connection, a better than expected finish for Kerry probably doesn’t mean much. Polls close at 7:00.
For an explanation of this data, click here.
For regular updates to the Composite State by State Margins, click here.
For regular updates to the Election Simulation, click here.
Note that the map on this page may not be updated as regularly.
