UPDATED COMPOSITE
The updated numbers are above and on the data pages that are linked here. Focus more on the without toss ups numbers above in parentheses. The reason for the change in the topline numbers is a recent poll in Minnesota (Bush +2) and a polls in New Mexico (Bush +5, Kerry +2). Of course, Bush's composite lead in Minnesota is +0.01. Personally, I don't really think Bush will win Minnesota - although polling could change that prediction by the time I get around to projecting Minnesota next week. Bush's only chance is if he wins the national popular vote by about 4 points or more.

I've been updating daily, so keep an eye out for changes.