Projection: Bush
Electoral Votes: 5
2000 Winner: Bush +40
Composite Margin: Bush +38
Current Category: Strong Bush
Probability of Bush Win: 100%
Best Bush: 75-25
Best Kerry: 35-66
Trend: Republican +39%
Safe: Yes
Can other candidate win? Never.
Best Weekly Polling Result for Bush: +45
Best Weekly Polling Result for Kerry: -37
Utah voted for Lyndon Johnson in 1964, and was even more Democrat than the nation that year. Must have had a problem with their neighbor from Arizona, Barry Goldwater. That’s the best result for the Democrats in Utah since 1960, and things won’t be any different this year, as Bush will lock up those 5 electoral votes on November 2. Trust me. I didn’t even create a fancy graphic in case Kerry surprises here.
For an explanation of this data, click here.
For regular updates to the Composite State by State Margins, click here. Latest was this morning.
For regular updates to the Election Simulation, click here. Latest was this morning.
Note that the map on this page may not be updated as regularly.
