Thursday, November 04, 2004


BETTER FINISH THE UPDATE
Blogger wasn't functioning much of yesterday, so we were left with a bit of a gloat even after Kerry's responsible concession. Now, it is incumbent upon the party that was supported by a minority of the people to reach across the aisle.





Total:

Bush –279
Kerry - 252
Not called - 7 (Iowa)

Iowa has not been called yet, but Bush leads in the count. If Bush wins Iowa, Federal Review only missed one state. Wisconsin. Which was ridiculously close. My popular vote prediction, based on the composite and my methodology for allocating undecideds was very close. I predicted a Bush win of 50.5 to 48.5. And my monte carlo simulation seemed more accurate than some of those egghead math professors and liberal partisans that you'll find online. But I will say - Sam Wang is The Man. But he shouldn't have mucked things up with his undecided guessing. Believe the numbers. Figures don't lie.

My arm hurts from patting myself on the back, so I'll have to post an analysis of my projections and numbers later.

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