Federal Review 2008 Composite Poll
and Electoral Vote Composite
A Statistical, Weighted Meta Average of Polling
...Better than the Average
Click here for the McCain/Clinton matchup

| McCain >2% | Obama >2% | |||
| McCain >4% | Obama >4% | |||
| McCain >10% | Obama >10% |
| National | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 46.2 | 45.3 | 0.0 | |||
| 5/2 | 43 | 47 | 0 | Rasmussen Tracking | 400 | Likely Voters |
| 5/2 | 43 | 47 | 0 | Gallup Tracking | 880 | Registered Voters |
| 5/2 | 51 | 40 | 0 | CBS News/New York Times Poll | 601 | Registered Voters |
| 5/2 | 47 | 48 | 0 | USA Today/Gallup | 803 | Likely Voters |
| 4/29 | 49 | 45 | 0 | CNN/Opinion Research Corporation | 906 | Registered Voters |
| 4/28 | 43 | 46 | 0 | FOX News/Opinion Dynamics | 900 | Registered Voters |
| 4/26 | 46 | 43 | 0 | NBC News/Wall Street Journal | 1006 | Registered Voters |
| 4/25 | 46 | 44 | 0 | AP-Ipsos | 1001 | Adults |
| 4/25 | 50 | 44 | 0 | Pew Research | 1323 | Registered Voters |
| 4/24 | 46 | 46 | 0 | Rasmussen Tracking | 425 | Likely Voters |
| 4/24 | 47 | 44 | 0 | Newsweek Poll | 1203 | Registered Voters |
| 4/24 | 45 | 45 | 0 | Gallup Tracking | 880 | Registered Voters |
| 4/19 | 49 | 44 | 0 | USA Today/Gallup | 832 | Likely Voters |
| 4/18 | 45 | 44 | 0 | Cook Political Report/RT Strategies | 802 | Registered Voters |
| 4/17 | 44 | 48 | 0 | Rasmussen Tracking | 425 | Likely Voters |
| 4/17 | 42 | 48 | 0 | Rasmussen Tracking | 425 | Likely Voters |
| 4/16 | 48 | 44 | 0 | Newsweek Poll | 1209 | Registered Voters |
| 4/16 | 45 | 44 | 0 | Gallup Tracking | 880 | Registered Voters |
| 4/11 | 49 | 44 | 0 | ABC News/Washington Post | 1197 | Adults |
| Alabama | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 35.5 | 56.2 | 0 | |||
| 4/20 | 36 | 55 | 0 | AL Educ Assn | 887 | Likely Voters |
| 4/12 | 32 | 64 | 0 | Survey USA | 540 | Registered Voters |
| 4/2 | 37 | 55 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 3/25 | 30 | 57 | 0 | U. of South Alabama Polling Group | 413 | Likely Voters |
| 3/15 | 35 | 62 | 0 | Survey USA | 544 | Registered Voters |
| 2/28 | 40 | 54 | 0 | Survey USA | 604 | Registered Voters |
| 2/17 | 34 | 58 | 0 | Survey USA | 554 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 37.1 | 62.9 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Alaska | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 43 | 48.1 | 0 | |||
| 4/7 | 43 | 48 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/29 | 43 | 48 | 0 | Survey USA | 617 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 36.8 | 63.2 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Arizona | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 37.5 | 50.1 | 0 | |||
| 4/25 | 38 | 47 | 0 | Ariz. St. Univ. | 577 | Registered Voters |
| 4/15 | 37 | 57 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 4/3 | 33 | 55 | 0 | N. Ariz. SRL | 369 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 39 | 51 | 0 | Survey USA | 619 | Registered Voters |
| 2/24 | 38 | 49 | 0 | Ariz. St. Univ. | 522 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 44.7 | 55.3 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Arkansas | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 29.7 | 55.8 | 0 | |||
| 3/18 | 30 | 59 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 3/8 | 27 | 43 | 0 | Opinion Research Assn (UCA) | 500 | Registered Voters |
| 2/28 | 33 | 53 | 0 | Survey USA | 586 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 45.1 | 54.9 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| California | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 50.4 | 41.7 | 0 | |||
| 4/12 | 50 | 43 | 0 | Survey USA | 540 | Registered Voters |
| 3/15 | 54 | 40 | 0 | Survey USA | 489 | Registered Voters |
| 3/14 | 49 | 40 | 0 | Public Policy Inst. of Cal. | 1077 | Likely Voters |
| 3/12 | 53 | 38 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 51 | 40 | 0 | Survey USA | 593 | Registered Voters |
| 2/17 | 61 | 34 | 0 | Survey USA | 512 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 55 | 45 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Colorado | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 46.1 | 43.3 | 0 | |||
| 4/16 | 46 | 43 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 3/17 | 46 | 46 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 50 | 41 | 0 | Survey USA | 631 | Registered Voters |
| 2/11 | 46 | 39 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 11/2 | 47.6 | 52.4 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Connecticut | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 51.9 | 35.3 | 0 | |||
| 3/21 | 52 | 35 | 0 | Quinnipiac University | 1697 | Registered Voters |
| 3/11 | 50 | 38 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 55 | 34 | 0 | Survey USA | 640 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 55.3 | 44.7 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Delaware | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 50.2 | 41.2 | 0 | |||
| 2/28 | 50 | 41 | 0 | Survey USA | 611 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 53.8 | 46.2 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| District of Columbia | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 90.5 | 9.5 | 0 | |||
| 11/2 | 90.5 | 9.5 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Florida | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 42.2 | 45 | 0 | |||
| 4/26 | 43 | 44 | 0 | Quinnipiac University | 1411 | Registered Voters |
| 4/10 | 38 | 53 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 3/27 | 37 | 46 | 0 | Quinnipiac University | 1136 | Registered Voters |
| 3/15 | 39 | 50 | 0 | Public Policy Polling | 618 | Likely Voters |
| 3/12 | 43 | 47 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 45 | 47 | 0 | Survey USA | 633 | Registered Voters |
| 2/24 | 37 | 47 | 0 | Mason-Dixon | 625 | Likely Voters |
| 2/16 | 37 | 53 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/12 | 39 | 41 | 0 | Quinnipiac University | 1009 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 47.5 | 52.5 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Georgia | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 40.1 | 53.2 | 0 | |||
| 3/20 | 40 | 53 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 41 | 54 | 0 | Survey USA | 592 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 41.6 | 58.4 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Hawaii | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 60.7 | 31.6 | 0 | |||
| 2/29 | 61 | 31 | 0 | Survey USA | 594 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 54.4 | 45.6 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Idaho | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 38.6 | 52.7 | 0 | |||
| 2/28 | 39 | 52 | 0 | Survey USA | 609 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 30.7 | 69.3 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Illinois | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 59.8 | 31.6 | 0 | |||
| 2/28 | 60 | 31 | 0 | Survey USA | 603 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 55.2 | 44.8 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Indiana | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 43.1 | 51 | 0 | |||
| 4/22 | 43 | 51 | 0 | Research 2000 | 600 | Likely Voters |
| 4/15 | 44 | 51 | 0 | Mike Downs Ctr | 250 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 41 | 50 | 0 | Survey USA | 579 | Registered Voters |
| 2/4 | 40 | 50 | 0 | Survey USA | 499 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 39.6 | 60.4 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Iowa | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 48.8 | 41.2 | 0 | |||
| 4/22 | 49 | 41 | 0 | Research 2000 | 600 | Likely Voters |
| 4/12 | 49 | 42 | 0 | Survey USA | 533 | Registered Voters |
| 3/31 | 46 | 42 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 50 | 41 | 0 | Survey USA | 619 | Registered Voters |
| 2/20 | 53 | 36 | 0 | Selzer & Co. Inc. - The Des Moines Register | 647 | Likely Voters |
| 2/18 | 44 | 41 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/17 | 51 | 41 | 0 | Survey USA | 563 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 49.7 | 50.3 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Kansas | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 37.6 | 53.5 | 0 | |||
| 4/12 | 37 | 54 | 0 | Survey USA | 516 | Registered Voters |
| 2/28 | 41 | 50 | 0 | Survey USA | 600 | Registered Voters |
| 2/17 | 44 | 50 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 11/2 | 37.1 | 62.9 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Kentucky | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 29 | 62.8 | 0 | |||
| 4/12 | 29 | 63 | 0 | Survey USA | 538 | Registered Voters |
| 3/15 | 28 | 64 | 0 | Survey USA | 535 | Registered Voters |
| 2/28 | 33 | 54 | 0 | Survey USA | 606 | Registered Voters |
| 2/4 | 32 | 61 | 0 | Survey USA | 540 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 40 | 60 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Louisiana | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 40.8 | 52.2 | 0 | |||
| 4/9 | 41 | 52 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 39 | 54 | 0 | Survey USA | 606 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 42.7 | 57.3 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Maine | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 49.4 | 39 | 0 | |||
| 4/1 | 49 | 39 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 53 | 39 | 0 | Survey USA | 639 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 54.6 | 45.4 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Maryland | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 51.8 | 38.1 | 0 | |||
| 3/1 | 51 | 37 | 0 | Gonzales Research | 807 | Registered Voters |
| 2/28 | 53 | 40 | 0 | Survey USA | 620 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 56.6 | 43.4 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Massachusetts | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 50.3 | 40.5 | 0 | |||
| 4/23 | 51 | 39 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 4/12 | 48 | 46 | 0 | Survey USA | 546 | Registered Voters |
| 3/18 | 49 | 42 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 3/15 | 47 | 47 | 0 | Survey USA | 532 | Registered Voters |
| 2/28 | 49 | 42 | 0 | Survey USA | 636 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 62.7 | 37.3 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Michigan | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 42.1 | 43.2 | 0 | |||
| 3/25 | 42 | 43 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 3/10 | 41 | 44 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 46 | 45 | 0 | Survey USA | 644 | Registered Voters |
| 2/17 | 47 | 39 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 11/2 | 51.7 | 48.3 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Minnesota | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 51.2 | 39.3 | 0 | |||
| 4/22 | 52 | 38 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 4/12 | 49 | 43 | 0 | Survey USA | 535 | Registered Voters |
| 3/19 | 47 | 43 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 3/15 | 46 | 47 | 0 | Survey USA | 532 | Registered Voters |
| 2/28 | 49 | 42 | 0 | Survey USA | 608 | Registered Voters |
| 2/16 | 53 | 38 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 11/2 | 51.8 | 48.2 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Mississippi | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 41 | 54.2 | 0 | |||
| 2/28 | 41 | 54 | 0 | Survey USA | 625 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 40.1 | 59.9 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Missouri | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 41.1 | 50.7 | 0 | |||
| 4/12 | 42 | 50 | 0 | Survey USA | 542 | Registered Voters |
| 3/24 | 38 | 53 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 3/15 | 39 | 53 | 0 | Survey USA | 536 | Registered Voters |
| 2/28 | 42 | 48 | 0 | Survey USA | 634 | Registered Voters |
| 2/11 | 40 | 42 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 11/2 | 46.4 | 53.6 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Montana | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 42.6 | 48 | 0 | |||
| 4/6 | 43 | 48 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 39 | 47 | 0 | Survey USA | 640 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 39.5 | 60.5 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Nebraska | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 41.6 | 45.9 | 0 | |||
| 2/28 | 42 | 45 | 0 | Survey USA | 623 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 33.2 | 66.8 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Nevada | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 43.3 | 47.1 | 0 | |||
| 4/21 | 43 | 48 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 3/19 | 45 | 41 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 46 | 41 | 0 | Survey USA | 612 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 48.7 | 51.3 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| New Hampshire | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 41.8 | 50 | 0 | |||
| 4/30 | 41 | 51 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 4/27 | 43 | 49 | 0 | UNH | 456 | Likely Voters |
| 3/16 | 43 | 46 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 46 | 44 | 0 | Survey USA | 636 | Registered Voters |
| 2/11 | 49 | 36 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 11/2 | 53.4 | 46.6 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| New Jersey | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 53.4 | 34.9 | 0 | |||
| 4/26 | 56 | 32 | 0 | Monmouth Univ. | 720 | Registered Voters |
| 3/27 | 47 | 42 | 0 | Fairleigh Dickinson | 800 | Registered Voters |
| 3/27 | 45 | 46 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 43 | 43 | 0 | Survey USA | 627 | Registered Voters |
| 2/27 | 43 | 45 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/24 | 43 | 38 | 0 | Fairleigh Dickinson | 795 | Registered Voters |
| 2/18 | 46 | 39 | 0 | Quinnipiac University | 1803 | Likely Voters |
| 11/2 | 50.7 | 49.3 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| New Mexico | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 44.6 | 46.3 | 0 | |||
| 4/12 | 44 | 50 | 0 | Survey USA | 490 | Registered Voters |
| 4/8 | 45 | 42 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 50 | 43 | 0 | Survey USA | 601 | Registered Voters |
| 2/18 | 44 | 44 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 11/2 | 49.6 | 50.4 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| New York | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 47.7 | 40 | 0 | |||
| 4/14 | 47 | 39 | 0 | Quinnipiac University | 1257 | Likely Voters |
| 4/12 | 52 | 43 | 0 | Survey USA | 499 | Registered Voters |
| 4/3 | 46 | 48 | 0 | WNBC/Marist | 576 | Registered Voters |
| 3/17 | 49 | 38 | 0 | Quinnipiac University | 1528 | Registered Voters |
| 3/11 | 51 | 38 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 52 | 38 | 0 | Survey USA | 592 | Registered Voters |
| 2/17 | 57 | 36 | 0 | Survey USA | 519 | Registered Voters |
| 2/14 | 47 | 40 | 0 | Siena Research Institute | 633 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 59.3 | 40.7 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| North Carolina | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 42.3 | 47.8 | 0 | |||
| 4/10 | 47 | 47 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 4/9 | 39 | 48 | 0 | Civitas Inst | 800 | Likely Voters |
| 3/20 | 42 | 51 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 45 | 47 | 0 | Survey USA | 640 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 43.8 | 56.2 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| North Dakota | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 45.5 | 43 | 0 | |||
| 2/28 | 46 | 42 | 0 | Survey USA | 572 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 36.1 | 63.9 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Ohio | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 42.2 | 43.7 | 0 | |||
| 4/26 | 42 | 43 | 0 | Quinnipiac University | 1127 | Registered Voters |
| 4/12 | 45 | 47 | 0 | Survey USA | 527 | Registered Voters |
| 4/8 | 40 | 47 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 3/27 | 43 | 42 | 0 | Quinnipiac University | 1238 | Registered Voters |
| 3/16 | 41 | 49 | 0 | Public Policy Polling | 629 | Likely Voters |
| 3/15 | 43 | 50 | 0 | Survey USA | 532 | Registered Voters |
| 3/13 | 40 | 46 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 50 | 40 | 0 | Survey USA | 629 | Registered Voters |
| 2/17 | 47 | 44 | 0 | Survey USA | 542 | Registered Voters |
| 2/17 | 41 | 42 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| Oklahoma | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 34 | 57.4 | 0 | |||
| 2/28 | 34 | 57 | 0 | Survey USA | 599 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 34.4 | 65.6 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Oregon | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 50.3 | 42 | 0 | |||
| 4/12 | 51 | 42 | 0 | Survey USA | 543 | Registered Voters |
| 3/26 | 48 | 42 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 49 | 41 | 0 | Survey USA | 628 | Registered Voters |
| 2/17 | 48 | 47 | 0 | Survey USA | 530 | Registered Voters |
| 2/13 | 49 | 40 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 11/2 | 52.1 | 47.9 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Pennsylvania | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 45 | 40.9 | 0 | |||
| 4/26 | 47 | 38 | 0 | Quinnipiac University | 1494 | Registered Voters |
| 4/24 | 43 | 44 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 4/12 | 39 | 49 | 0 | Strategic Vision | 1200 | Likely Voters |
| 4/9 | 47 | 39 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 4/2 | 47 | 40 | 0 | Temple Univ. | 1175 | Registered Voters |
| 3/29 | 42 | 47 | 0 | Strategic Vision | 1200 | Likely Voters |
| 3/27 | 43 | 39 | 0 | Quinnipiac University | 3484 | Registered Voters |
| 3/10 | 43 | 44 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 3/8 | 44 | 47 | 0 | Strategic Vision | 1200 | Likely Voters |
| 3/7 | 41 | 45 | 0 | Susquehana | 700 | Registered Voters |
| Rhode Island | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 53.3 | 38.1 | 0 | |||
| 2/28 | 53 | 38 | 0 | Survey USA | 628 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 60.6 | 39.4 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| South Carolina | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 44.8 | 48.5 | 0 | |||
| 2/28 | 45 | 48 | 0 | Survey USA | 595 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 41.4 | 58.6 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| South Dakota | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 42.8 | 47.6 | 0 | |||
| 2/28 | 43 | 47 | 0 | Survey USA | 632 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 39.1 | 60.9 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Tennessee | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 31.8 | 57.4 | 0 | |||
| 4/3 | 31 | 58 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 38 | 54 | 0 | Survey USA | 618 | Registered Voters |
| 2/23 | 36 | 50 | 0 | Mid. Tenn. St. Univ. | 585 | Adults |
| 11/2 | 42.8 | 57.2 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Texas | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 43 | 48.1 | 0 | |||
| 5/1 | 43 | 48 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 3/1 | 42 | 49 | 0 | WFAA/Belo | 1200 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 46 | 47 | 0 | Survey USA | 600 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 38.5 | 61.5 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Utah | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 38.5 | 51 | 0 | |||
| 2/28 | 39 | 50 | 0 | Survey USA | 608 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 26.7 | 73.3 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Vermont | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 62.9 | 29.4 | 0 | |||
| 2/28 | 63 | 29 | 0 | Survey USA | 626 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 60.3 | 39.7 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Virginia | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 43.5 | 51.8 | 0 | |||
| 4/12 | 44 | 52 | 0 | Survey USA | 515 | Registered Voters |
| 3/27 | 41 | 52 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/28 | 47 | 47 | 0 | Survey USA | 629 | Registered Voters |
| 2/19 | 44 | 49 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/18 | 51 | 45 | 0 | Survey USA | 554 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 45.9 | 54.1 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Washington | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 47.6 | 42.2 | 0 | |||
| 3/27 | 48 | 43 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 3/19 | 45 | 39 | 0 | "Elway Research, Inc" | 405 | Registered Voters |
| 2/28 | 52 | 38 | 0 | Survey USA | 634 | Registered Voters |
| 2/28 | 44 | 45 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/4 | 55 | 38 | 0 | Survey USA | 534 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 53.6 | 46.4 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| West Virginia | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 35.4 | 53.1 | 0 | |||
| 2/28 | 35 | 53 | 0 | Survey USA | 613 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 43.5 | 56.5 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Wisconsin | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 47.6 | 43.8 | 0 | |||
| 4/19 | 47 | 43 | 0 | Badger Poll (UW) | 521 | Adults |
| 4/12 | 49 | 44 | 0 | Survey USA | 541 | Registered Voters |
| 3/26 | 46 | 48 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 3/15 | 48 | 44 | 0 | Survey USA | 528 | Registered Voters |
| 2/28 | 51 | 40 | 0 | Survey USA | 597 | Registered Voters |
| 2/21 | 44 | 43 | 0 | Rasmussen Reports | 500 | Likely Voters |
| 2/17 | 52 | 42 | 0 | Survey USA | 537 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 50.2 | 49.8 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Wyoming | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 34.8 | 54.7 | 0 | |||
| 2/28 | 35 | 54 | 0 | Survey USA | 576 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 29.7 | 70.3 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Maine Dist 1 | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 54.6 | 45.4 | 0 | |||
| 11/2 | 54.6 | 45.4 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Maine Dist 2 | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 54.6 | 45.4 | 0 | |||
| 11/2 | 54.6 | 45.4 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Nebraska Dist 1 | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 42.7 | 45 | 0 | |||
| 2/28 | 44 | 42 | 0 | Survey USA | 200 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 33.2 | 66.8 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Nebraska Dist 2 | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 43.6 | 45.9 | 0 | |||
| 2/28 | 45 | 43 | 0 | Survey USA | 200 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 33.2 | 66.8 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
| Nebraska Dist 3 | ||||||
| Date | Obama | McCain | Nader (I) | Poll | Sample Size | Voter Type |
| FR Composite | 34.8 | 54.7 | 0 | |||
| 2/28 | 35 | 53 | 0 | Survey USA | 200 | Registered Voters |
| 11/2 | 33.2 | 66.8 | 0 | 2004 Result by Party | 5000 | Likely Voters |
