Click to see our Methodology and Assumptions

Updates appear first on the Federal Review main page.

Skip all this talk, take me to the numbers - may be updated more often than the above map.

Go to the Election Simulation -- Who's the probable winner as of now? Check back for almost daily updates.

WATCH MAIN PAGE AND DATA PAGES LISTED ABOVE FOR UPDATES
Updates to our data pages will come more often for the next two weeks. Watch the main page for the updates, as well as projections for all 50 states.

See the Data Page. All graphs below can be enlarged by clicking.

For a recap of state-by-state polling, see Dales’ Electoral College Breakdown.  For an alternative analysis, see Election Projection, Cold Hearted Truth, DC's Political Report.

Other simulations: TruthisAll, Prof. Sam Wang, Prof. Pollkatz.

Discuss this analysis on Federal Review or at Free Republic or on Democratic Underground.