Federal Review Composite Poll and Electoral Vote Analysis
								November 1, 2004
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						Raw Composite			# surveyed		Composite - Allocated Undecided
						Bush	Kerry				Bush	Kerry
						48.2	46.4		15,346		50.5	48.5
						-0.3	0.3				-0.2	0.2
						Electoral Votes			Electoral Votes	Electoral Votes - Unallocated Toss Ups
						Bush	Kerry			Bush	Kerry	Toss Up
						296	242			254	207	77
						0	0			0	-17	17	change from 10/25
				Margin of Bush Lead		Bush			Toss Up	Kerry				Margin of Kerry Lead
Alabama		Margin				>12%	>6%	>2%		>2%	>6%	>12%
						138	196	254	77	207	164	74
Alabama	9	18.6%		18.6%	Alabama	9	9	9	0	0	0	0
Alaska	3	28.3%		28.3%	Alaska	3	3	3	0	0	0	0
Arizona	10	11.3%		11.3%	Arizona	0	10	10	0	0	0	0
Arkansas	6	2.6%		2.6%	Arkansas	0	0	6	0	0	0	0
California	55	-8.0%				0	0	0	0	55	55	0	California	8.0%
Colorado	9	3.1%		3.1%	Colorado	0	0	9	0	0	0	0
Connecticut	7	-10.0%				0	0	0	0	7	7	0	Connecticut	10.0%
Delaware	3	-8.5%				0	0	0	0	3	3	0	Delaware	8.5%
District of Columbia	3	-69.0%				0	0	0	0	3	3	3	District of Columbia	69.0%
Florida	27	2.3%		2.3%	Florida	0	0	27	0	0	0	0
Georgia	15	15.1%		15.1%	Georgia	15	15	15	0	0	0	0
Hawaii	4	-0.9%				0	0	0	4	0	0	0	Hawaii	0.9%
Idaho	4	33.0%		33.0%	Idaho	4	4	4	0	0	0	0
Illinois	21	-12.2%				0	0	0	0	21	21	21	Illinois	12.2%
Indiana	11	18.3%		18.3%	Indiana	11	11	11	0	0	0	0
Iowa	7	1.5%		1.5%	Iowa	0	0	0	7	0	0	0
Kansas	6	24.6%		24.6%	Kansas	6	6	6	0	0	0	0
Kentucky	8	20.7%		20.7%	Kentucky	8	8	8	0	0	0	0
Louisiana	9	10.0%		10.0%	Louisiana	0	9	9	0	0	0	0
Maine	4	-7.4%				0	0	0	0	4	4	0	Maine	7.4%
Maryland	10	-11.6%				0	0	0	0	10	10	0	Maryland	11.6%
Massachusetts	12	-20.2%				0	0	0	0	12	12	12	Massachusetts	20.2%
Michigan	17	-2.5%				0	0	0	0	17	0	0	Michigan	2.5%
Minnesota	10	-1.5%				0	0	0	10	0	0	0	Minnesota	1.5%
Mississippi	6	11.3%		11.3%	Mississippi	0	6	6	0	0	0	0
Missouri	11	4.9%		4.9%	Missouri	0	0	11	0	0	0	0
Montana	3	21.5%		21.5%	Montana	3	3	3	0	0	0	0
Nebraska	5	29.1%		29.1%	Nebraska	5	5	5	0	0	0	0
Nevada	5	4.1%		4.1%	Nevada	0	0	5	0	0	0	0
New Hampshire	4	-3.6%				0	0	0	0	4	0	0	New Hampshire	3.6%
New Jersey	15	-4.9%				0	0	0	0	15	0	0	New Jersey	4.9%
New Mexico	5	1.7%		1.67%	New Mexico	0	0	0	5	0	0	0
New York	31	-16.8%				0	0	0	0	31	31	31	New York	16.8%
North Carolina	15	7.7%		7.7%	North Carolina	0	15	15	0	0	0	0
North Dakota	3	21.2%		21.2%	North Dakota	3	3	3	0	0	0	0
Ohio	20	0.7%		0.7%	Ohio	0	0	0	20	0	0	0
Oklahoma	7	29.8%		29.8%	Oklahoma	7	7	7	0	0	0	0
Oregon	7	-4.9%				0	0	0	0	7	0	0	Oregon	4.9%
Pennsylvania	21	-1.9%				0	0	0	21	0	0	0	Pennsylvania	1.9%
Rhode Island	4	-13.9%				0	0	0	0	4	4	4	Rhode Island	13.9%
South Carolina	8	13.4%		13.4%	South Carolina	8	8	8	0	0	0	0
South Dakota	3	18.8%		18.8%	South Dakota	3	3	3	0	0	0	0
Tennessee	11	17.1%		17.1%	Tennessee	11	11	11	0	0	0	0
Texas	34	23.8%		23.8%	Texas	34	34	34	0	0	0	0
Utah	5	44.8%		44.8%	Utah	5	5	5	0	0	0	0
Vermont	3	-12.3%				0	0	0	0	3	3	3	Vermont	12.3%
Virginia	13	6.1%		6.1%