Latest 2008 Electoral Composite Polls and Scorecard


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Sunday, July 06, 2008
2008 Electoral Vote Projection and Composite Poll



McCain
Tossup
Obama
208
34
296





McCain is in Bad Shape
Not exactly a good map for McCain, but a couple of states have moved favorably in his direction. Georgia and Florida, each with multiple polls confirming the results, have moved back to Lean McCain. McCain leads in Florida +4, and in Georgia +5. If this were the day before the election, those states would be McCain locks (any lead greater than 1 point on election eve is a win under my algorithm). But it isn't the day before the election. A good thing for McCain, as he would lose.

McCain increases his lead in the formerly Democratic Lousiana. From 9 points to 15. North Carolina remains ridiculously close, after going for Bush by 13 in 2004, McCain only leads by 4.

Obama picks up Montana. A state Bush won by 20 in 2004, Obama leads by 3.5! If McCain is having trouble in Montana, perhaps he does need to worry about North Dakota. No polls there lately, so it remains a tossup. Obama also maintains his lead in Virginia, by about 2 points. And you can forget any possibility of McCain being competitive in Connecticut. One poll back in May had McCain trailing by only 3, now several polls confirm it is just plain out of his reach. Obama leads in Connecticut now by 20. Kerry won by only 10.

The real story here, is that Obama leads in all of the states that he needs to win. He's put some formerly red states into play, like Indiana, Nevada, Virginia, Montana, North Dakota. He's reduced some others to mere leans for the GOP, like North Carolina, South Dakota, Georgia and Alaska. Obama could spend his money running up the score in Ohio, Pennsylvania and Michigan. Then run some ads in Indiana, North Carolina and Virginia to force McCain to fight on his home turf. Electorally, McCain has quite an uphill battle, despite only trailing in the national popular vote by 6.

And what is really painful for the McCain camp, is he could pick up all of the tossups, add Ohio, and still lose.

All the gory details are here.

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What's Going On In Iraq?


We have heard all kinds of reports, opinions, and politicial posturing on Iraq. In the course of my profession, I have had the opportunity to speak with people who still have family in a major city in Iraq. I couldn't help but ask them how things are and what their family thinks about the situation there. I am reporting what they say without any opinion. They all say pretty much the same thing. Again, take this for what it is - some comments from people in one major city in Iraq.

They are afraid of sectarian violence.

They are afraid of opening the door at night.

Things are worse there because of fear of violence.

They know Saddam was a brutal killer, but at least with him they could live their life if they stay out of his way (which they knew how to do).

Things are not better than they were before the war.

However, if the U.S. left, there would be a bloodbath, so the U.S. needs to stay.

Discuss.

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Friday, July 04, 2008
Declaration of Independence


I usually copy the text of the Declaration here. But I found this video, a selection of hollywood types, not just liberal ones. Let's hope the listened to the words they were reading. We all should.

As many of you, I'm proud to be an American, and these words, these ideals, should inform every citizen and every politician. We can hope.


Read the text here.

And with thanks to Jesse Helms for holding close to these principals in the performance of his duties, even when it was unpopular to do so. R.I.P.

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Thursday, July 03, 2008
Mr & Mrs Easley...actually all NC democrats in government...please...just leave



I believe the citizens of the state of North Carolina are just about fed up with the Easleys. As if we didn't know the good ole boy network was in full swing when democrats bribed house members to switch parties to take back control of the house. Made a mockery of the redistricting efforts. And who knows what the hell is going on in closed-door budget meetings right now.
Amazingly Easley is about to receive a NEA award for his education efforts and it's announcement is coming on the heels of what's seen as potential kickbacks to his wife (88% pay increase as I might be happy to get a 6% yearly boost and most others as well) and her extravagant trips to Europe. Both of which might be within the normal range of what a government official feels their entitled to. But let's not forget the Easleys OTHER little issues of concern. Like the Bald Head Island deal. Kinda looks a lot like the Duke Cunningham deal doesn't it. The Easleys spare no expense on their travel to their properties either. Do they drive. Nope...they probably still use the state helicopters to move around.
Couple this with Easley working in cahoots with Tony Rand to wait until a house member was on his honeymoon and another out for personal reasons to call a special session to get the lottery passed. Where were the journalists around asking would Easley or Rand if they would be upset if someone called a special vote during...I don't know...a funeral of a family member...maybe a child's wedding. No...the News and Disturber just laps up whatever Basnight/Rand have to give them and they take it and go with it. Now that we're in year 8 of the Easley regime, the N&O start doing some semblance of reporting about the benefits the Easleys are now reaping. Too little...too late. Mike and his little Mary Antoinette can leave...and I wish they'd take Rand and Basnight right along with them.
North Carolina democrats should be absolutely embarrassed. But I doubt it. I hope Paul Stam keeps hammering them. And don't get me started on the DOT.
(picture linked from WRAL)

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Wednesday, July 02, 2008
Marxist Revolution: Yes We Can!





Honestly, was there ever any doubt as to who the commies were going to vote for?


"This group is for self-proclaimed Marxists/Communists/Socialists for the election of Barack Obama to the Presidency. By no means is he a true Marxist, but under Karl Marx's writings we are to support the party with the best interests of the mobilization of the proletariat," states the groups charter.


True, Obama wasn't the first choice of America's Reds, but Lenin, Stalin, Mao, and Che' are already dead, and Fidel isn't too long for this world either - so Obama will have to do.


Luckily, Obama has a long history of cozying up to Marxists, as noted in his first book Dreams of my Father:


“To avoid being mistaken for a sellout, I chose my friends carefully. The more politically active black students. The foreign students. The Chicanos. The Marxist professors and structural feminists.”


Here's a sample from one of Obama's most ardent supporters:


"The Neo-proleatarian is now the bearer of the Revolution. That's why I support Obama. He helps destroy the paradigm of bourgeoisie government, which is best for the Proletariat. In the end, this will only hasten the Revolution even if the Revolution must come as a massive government reform."


Says another:


"We can’t just accept the evil side of capitalism. The nature of capitalism is to maximize profits, and this is often done by minimizing expenditure—in short, cutting costs. And cutting costs means less benefits, less pay, and poorer conditions for the workers. But capitalism has more evil in it than that. The profit motive drives the destruction of our environment, it has caused the current foreclosure crisis, and it exploits and basically enslaves those poor not protected by legitimate representative government."


Wow! That commie sounds and awful lot like your average Democrat.

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Tuesday, July 01, 2008
Kick the base, then kick them some more


"An inside source in the John McCain New Jersey Presidential campaign headquarters, which just opened this past weekend, confirmed they were instructed by senior campaign staffers that all Republican and GOP pictures, logos, and symbols were banned from the headquarters.

The staff was also instructed that they are not allowed to have any joint events with any republican organizations. The banning of his own party from his regional office comes as yet another blow to what appears as an unmotivated and not included base.

“We don’t want to isolate anyone,” said a McCain staff member, who asked to remain anonymous. Unfortunately, the already shaky McCain base is feeling even more isolated because their presumptive presidential nominee doesn’t want anything to do with their party."



I had almost resigned myself to voting for this egotistical jackass. After seeing this, however, I just don't think I can pull the lever for McCain in November.

With any luck, real Republicans, if any still remain, will stage a Coup d'Etat at the national convention - and hand the nomination over to Mitt Romney. If not, say hello to President Obama.

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Sunday, June 29, 2008
Iran to aid US in logistics of attack - on Iran.


Iran is to dig 320,000 graves in border districts to allow for the burial of enemy soldiers in the event of any attack on its territory, a top commander said on Sunday.

"In implementation of the Geneva Conventions... the necessary measures are being taken to provide for the burial of enemy soldiers," the Mehr news agency quoted General Mir-Faisal Bagherzadeh as saying.


Iran's proposal to dig 320,000 graves is actually a very hospitable act on their part. That's roughly the number of graves necessary to bury the entire Islamic Republic of Iran Army, minus the 30,000 or so that would surrender on their own accord.

While I give props to the mullahs for offering to help aid us in the sanitary disposal of hundreds of thousands of Iranian dead - bloated in the hot desert sun, I'm sure the US would rather nuke the hell out of them from the Iraqi side of the border - prevailing winds being what they are.

On the other hand, we might just let the Israelis do the dirty work for us.

In Israel, as opposed to the US, virtually no one suffers from a pre-9/11 mindset. Islamic extremism is very real to them.

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The answer, my friend, isn't blowin' in the wind.


In spite of the feel-goodisms of Bob Dylan, not to mention the reassurance of virtually every Democrat from Barack Obama to Nancy Pelosi, the answer really isn't "blowin' in the wind."

While placing prohibitive restrictions on America's most widely available and economical sources of energy (nuclear, coal, oil and natural gas), the Democrats are holding American consumers hostage until "renewable" sources of energy, most notably wind energy, becomes our primary source of electrical power.

Don't hold your breath!

Currently, wind power provides 0.64% of our nation's energy needs, and our demand for new additional energy is going to increase by at least 20% over the next couple of decades.

In order for wind energy to replace our most feared (and least expensive) energy source, nuclear power, wind farms would have to cover some 23 million acres of land (an area equal to the size of the state of Virginia).

To have any hope of replacing the 90% of our energy that comes from nuclear, coal, oil and natural gas, wind farms would have to gobble up 115 million acres of America's land mass - equivalent to all of New England (Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and Connecticut), New York, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey.

What would we do with all of those displaced blue staters? Any room in Canada?

Presumably, this wholesale clear cutting of 115 million acres of land to make room for windmills would have some negative impact on the environment of the states impacted, especially since we are to believe that drilling on 2000 acres of ANWR's 19 million acres will devastate the entire park - resulting in untold numbers of stillborn caribou.

If we can't break our addiction to fossil fuels with wind energy, then how are we to break the grip that big oil has over our our lives? Bio fuels? Yeah, but only if you're into starvation.

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Hillary's forces wage insurgency against Obama in Florida


"Racial slurs targeting Barack Obama were discovered spray painted tonight on dozens of city vehicles in Orlando.

The vandalism happened in a City of Orlando parking lot on the corner of south and orange.

Phrases including “Obmama smokes crack” and others phrases with racial slurs were written in blue spray paint on the white city cars and trucks.

Other vehicles appeared to have had their gas tanks tampered with.

Along with the paint, hundreds of business cards were left on windshields.

The cards contain criticism of Obama on one side, and support for Hillary Clinton and her family on the other side."


Clearly, this is a war that Obama cannot hope to win. How long before he calls for a withdrawal of his campaign staff from Florida?

Barack Obama was opposed to going into Florida from the start - refusing to campaign there prior to the January 29th primary, and steadfastly against the seating of the state's delegation at the Democrat convention in August.


Typically, Democrats refrain from the wanton destruction of other people's property until election day, and even then they limit their attacks to Republican GOTV vehicles, police cruisers, Korean grocers, or convenience stores allied to big oil - never vehicles used by organized labor such as AFSCME.

Obviously, the gulf between Obama's coalition of blacks, gays, and socialists, and the spurned old ladies and "bitter clingers" of the Clinton coalition is a wide as ever.

This is a most uncivil war.

While a "surge" of additional Democrats into Florida is out of the question, as it would be nothing more than a repeat of the failed policies of the past, there is hope of a rapprochement, if ever so slight.

"The person or persons left a business card with political ramblings and other phrases such as ‘How ‘Bout them Gators’ and ‘Legalize Marijuana/ Stop Building Prisons’.

In a state where the divided Democrats loyalties to the University of Florida, Florida State and the University of Miami are as entrenched as the distrust between Sunnis, Shiites, and Kurds, all Democrats can agree on the legalization of pot and the necessity of freeing convicted felons.

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Friday, June 27, 2008
It's Friday and That Means Beer


I'm not a big fan of Guiness, and I hate squirrels. This little guy just makes me want to head home today, bust out some Corona and throw stones at the little tree-rats that infest my yard!

It's finally Friday. Cheers!

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